Thursday, June 18, 2009

Tonight's risk...Thursday weather

The thunderstorm threat is prety much over for the night and has shifted to the north into Iowa. There is an area of showers and thunderstorms tracking southeast in Iowa, and it may pose a threat to extreme northeastern Missouri.

Aside from the exterme northeastern corner of the state, the night should remain dry, warm, and humid, even hot in some cases. Salina Kansas jumped to 91 degrees at midnigh due to the sinking air from dying thunderstorms.

Now what about tomorrow's weather. I think it will be dry for us as a strong cap will be in place, but I would keep an eye on extreme northern Missouri as they are in a slight risk for Thursday. The main target will be across northern Indiana, northern Illinois, northern half of Iowa, and southern Minnisota. These areas are in a moderate risk tomorrow as you can see in the map below:



The threats for tomorrow in the moderate risk include very large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. Again, notice the slight risk across northen Missouri. We will have to watch this area closely if anything develops. I think it should remain dry for most locations, but very humid and HOT.
Highs should be in the low to mid 90's with dewpoints in the 70's. This will allow the heat index to break 100 degrees in many locations. I will update the blog tomorrow as it will be pretty miserable.
Alex Pickman

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