Sat night update...Severe T-storm Watch

As I expected, a cluster of showers and thunderstorms developed in southern Nebraska and eastern Kansas where the cap broke.



As the rain and thunderstorm began to push east, they also began to strengthen and as a result the SPC has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for northern Missouri. Take a look at the watch box below:



The Watch is in effect untill 5:00 AM Sunday. I dont think there will be any tornadoes tonight, but any severe storms will have the potential for winds 60 to 70 mph and large damaging hail. Other overlooked dangerous components will be the vivid lightning and torential rains. Sunday afternoon may hold some tornadoes.

The SPC has upgraded the Kansas/Nebraska/Missouri area under a moderate risk for severe weather tonight through Sunday night. Take a look at the map below:



Here is the breakdown of the moderate risk area tonight and especially Sunday and Sunday night:

Tornadoes - 10%
Hail - 45%
High Wind - 30%

The thunderstorm activity will continue across northern Missouri tonight and possibly early Sunday morning. It should be dry across the area Sunday afternoon with highs on either side of 90 degrees. The chances for rain and thunderstorms increased toward the evening hours.

I will have a new blog tomorrow discussing the severe weather potential, but the ingredients are there for some tornadoes, damaging winds and very large hail. It will be an interesting day Sunday.

Alex Pickman