Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Early morning update

A Tornado Watch that was issued for northwestern Missouri and northeastern Kansas has been long allowed to expire as the warm front has lifted well to the north, taking the thunderstorms with it. Take a look at the current surface map where I have drawn in the warm front:

Once again as you can see the front is well north of the area. This has eliminated any further thunderstorm development around the area. Any precipitation will remain along and north of the warm front. We will be experiencing very warm and muggy conditions for the rest of tonight with lows in the mid to upper 60's. As you can see on the map above, some locations across eastern Kansas and northern Missouri still are in the low 70's at 2:00 AM!

This very warm and humid air will continue through the day tomorrow with highs in the upper 70's and low 80's and will be the key ingredients to a possible severe weather outbreak. A cold front will approach the area tomorrow afternoon and evening and thunderstorms, possibly severe are likely. The SPC has much of the area under a slight risk for severe weather tomorrow as you can see below:

The main threats are large hail and damaging winds, but tornadoes will be possible. I will have a new entry with more details tomorrow morning.

Alex Pickman


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