Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Rain tonight...wet week ahead!

Well, rain and thunderstorms have formed as expected over Kansas. It is pressing eastward across Missouri right now with some moderate to heavy rains, especialy around Columbia. Take a look at the radar image from around 9:30 PM:



There is no chance of severe weather with this rain tonight., but there could be some light flooding in the creeks with possily upto an inch of rain tonight in spots - mainly in central Missouri. Marshall, MO has reported close to an inch of rain tonight.

The rest of the night may have a few showers, but it most likely remain drizzly. Thursday may have some scattered showers and thunderstorms during the day with highs in the 70's to low 80's in spots. Take a look at the 500 mb map for Friday night:



By Friday night, a split flow will have developed with two jet streams. One jet to the north with a large ridge of high pressure and a trough to the east. The southern Jet streak is just to the south of our area. This setup is going to allow numerous upper level disturbences to roll through over the next week and bring us several rain chances.

After the rain tonight,and possible scattered showers tomorrow, the next chance of some steady rain will be on the back side of a strong first of May cold front. It looks like we will remain free of severe thunderstorms once again, but areas in southern Missouri, Kansas, and Oklahoma need to watch out again.

This strong cold front will drastically cool us down from what we have been experiencing. Highs Friday will be in the 50's in the morning with rain. Temperature will cool into the 40's by Friday afternoon with clearing skies.

Another disturbence will approach the area on Saturday, bring a cold rain to the area with highs only in the 40's. There is a chance of rain Sunday morning with highs topping out in the 50's. And it looks like a chance of rain Monday and Tuesday as well. So this is going to be a coold and wet weeks of weather, and flooding may be a concern at times with a chance of rain tonight through next Tuesday as the split flowis dominating the pattern this week.

I will have a new blog on the cold front tomorrow.

Alex Pickman

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