Saturday, March 7, 2009

New Severe Thunderstorm Watch...Updated!

I wanted to talk about the flooding potential tonight as these storms are training one after another. Take a look at the map below:

The storms are moving northeastward and as you can see, there are storms just lined up one after another. This could cause flooding problems with many locations likely recieving 1-2" of rain. Based on the track of the current storms, here is my forecast map of who has potential to see 1-2+" of rain:
Locations in this band may not get much at all. It just depends if you get under some training thunderstorms. Areas who do get the heavy thunderstorm activity will likely have to deal with some flash flooding as the area has been fairly dry the last month.
The threat of severe weather is there, with hail the primary threat. The severe weather potential will be its greatest across eastern Kansas through central Missouri from now through the next about 4 hours. The SPC is looking to extend or issue a new watch from northeast Missouri and into Illinois as the storms will soon be entering that area. You can see the discussion area on the warning map above.

It is likely going to drop into the 30's tonight with some continued rain. The rain should be out of here by mid morning Sunday as the surface low will be tracking east of us. I think highs on Sunday will make back into the 40's and low 50's.

Take a look at the current position of the surface storm. It is snowing across parts of Nebraska with 70's just to the south of the front! I will have an update tomorrow:

Alex Pickman


The SPC has issued a new Severe Thunderstorm Watch for areas from around Kansas City to north central Missouri. Take a look at the map below:

Thunderstorms are developing and moving into the new watch area from the first watch in Kansas. The main threat continues to be hail with strong winds possible. The chance of a spin up is extremely small. There was a tornado reported on the ground earlier this evening around Hutchison, KS.

The SPC as you can read in the previous blog said maybe 1 or 2 tornadoes, so you can see the setup wasnt there for a big tornado outbreak.

This new watch is valid until 3:00 AM. Ill keep you posted.

Alex Pickman


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