Heavy rain last night...Monday storm?

Well with last night's training thunderstorms, flooding became a problem as heavy rain fell. There was a swath where an estimated 1-3+ inches fell. This prompted the SPC to issue a flash flood warning for parts of central Missouri, extending northeast into Illinois. Take a look at the severe weather map below:

The heavy rain caused many creeks and streams to flood and go over their banks. And a storm approaching the area for Monday will likely cause more problems. Moisture from the Gulf of Mexico is pushing northward, and by noon tomorrow, clouds will have overspread the region after a cool morning in the 30's. Highs Monday should make it into the 50's with rain and thunderstorms moving in late in the afternoon and continuing overnight.

This has potential to be another big rain event. Take a look at the 12z NAM total precip through Tuesday morning:

This has northern Missouri in a band of 1-2+ inches. I think there will be a band somewhere in the area with some 1-3+ inch totals. Will there be any severe weather?

As you can see, the SPC has put areas south of KC into northern Texas in a slight risk for severe. We will have to see how it sets up tomorrow, but right now, it looks like more of a heavy rain event across northern Missouri.

I will have an update tomorrow.

Alex Pickman