Thursday, January 15, 2009

Another cold night...AM snow?

Well it looks to be another frigid night with lows dropping between -5 and -10 degrees again tonight. Look at the surface map below:

As you can see, lows Friday morning will be similar to this morning's lows. The only difference is that the winds will be light tonight with a strong arctic high overhead. Do you see the warm front towards western Kansas and Colorado? Well that will be heading in our direction tomorrow. And with temperatures this cold, and the air this dry, it wont take much of anything to saturate it, and this warm front will provide plenty of lift to produce some snow in the morning between 4 and 9 AM from southern Nebraska, into Kansas and through the Kansas City area. There will likely be a this band 40 to 50 miles wide of an inch or just a bit more possible. Take a look at my snowfall forecast below:

I would say there is an 80 percent chance of snow tomorrow morning around the area, and that band of "heavier" precipitation could easily move further north or south. Also if the the diturbence weakens, the snow totals will be less and if it strengthens, they will be a bit higher. But overall, I would say a decent swath of light accumulations of a dusting or 1/2" to 3/4" to a thin band of possibly and inch to 1.5".

Once the snow moves through, the winds will switch to the south and highs Friday will be in the mid to upper 20's, so not as cold.

We will be experiencing a moderating trend next week especially into Tuesday and Wednesday where upper 50's to mid 60's will be likely.

I will have an update tomorrow morning.

Alex Pickman


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